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Peñarol vs Flamengo Prediction: Flamengo needs a historic win

25 Sep 2024
20:00
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Peñarol
Finished
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores - Quarter-final, 2nd leg
Peñarol vs Flamengo
Stadium: Campeón del Siglo
27.09.2024, 01:00
Odds 1,63
Bet Type 1X
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Peñarol and Flamengo will meet in Montevideo to decide who will progress to the Copa Libertadores semi-finals. In the first leg, the Uruguayans won 1-0 in Rio de Janeiro and find themselves in a better position to qualify. In the seven times the two sides have met, Penãrol has a clear advantage with five wins to Flamengo's one. The Brazilians have never beaten their opponents away from home, so it will take a historic victory to advance in the competition.

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Peñarol

The Carboneros beat Cerro 5-0 away and remain second in the Primera División. Peñarol has won three games, drawn one, and is two points behind leader Danubio in the four rounds played in the Torneo Clausura. Against Montevideo rival Cerro, Peñarol fielded a line-up of reserves and had no problem winning. Facundo Batista scored a hat-trick, and Brazilian Matheus Babi scored twice. Peñarol will be at full strength to face Flamengo and try to knock out one of the favorites to win the competition. The Decano has won the Copa Libertadores five times, but the last occasion they lifted the trophy was in 1987.

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Flamengo

The Scarlet-Black also didn't field its best team against Grêmio and lost 3-2, falling even further away from first place. Tite decided not to take 12 players to Porto Alegre to rest them for the decisive game with Peñarol, clearly signaling that the Copa Libertadores is the club's priority. The result has led to an intensification of the pressure on the former coach of the Brazil national team, who is beginning to see his job at risk. Flamengo has many injured players and low confidence, needing a miracle to beat a tricky opponent and qualify for the Copa Libertadores semi-finals.

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Expert Betting Tips

Peñarol won the first leg 1-0 in Brazil and has the upper hand in the quarter-finals. The Uruguayans will now play at home in front of their fans and are the favorites to qualify for the semi-finals. Flamengo has never beaten Peñarol away from home, and the last time it won a game in Uruguay was 29 years ago. On top of that, the Mengão hasn't won an away match in the Copa Libertadores for two years. The Brazilians are low on confidence and have many injured players, so they'll have to get over it and play a perfect game to win. I'm leaning towards Peñarol qualifying, although anything can happen. I will bet on a Double Chance in favor of Peñarol.

Odds 1,63
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Odds 2,00
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Odds 6,00
Bet Type Correct Score 1-1
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