Atlético Mineiro vs América Mineiro: The Galo to crush their compatriots

One of the central matches in the second round of the group stage of the Copa Libertadores will certainly be the derby of the state of Mineiro, in which Atlético Mineiro will take on América Mineiro. The teams are quite familiar with each other, having played in the 2022 state championship. Atlético, as the home team and reigning national champions, are the favorites.

Atlético Mineiro's winning streak is now 12 games long. The most recent defeat came in a game against URT in the state championship. Since then, the future hosts have won the Brazilian Super Cup, won the state championship, and outplayed Serie B side Cruzeiro in the final. And in the first round of the group stage of the Copa Libertadores, Atlético Mineiro confidently defeated Tolima 2-0 away. Fernandez and Tchê Tchê were both effective in that game. But it's worth mentioning that although they lost by a scoreless score, the Colombians were just as good as the Brazilians, hitting 17 shots on goal and five on target. Atlético Mineiro, meanwhile, recorded 18 shots towards, six on goal with 56% possession.

While Atlético Mineiro have a 12-match winning streak, América have a 5-match unbeaten streak. In the state championship, América lost and drew against Tombense, lost 0:4 to Athletico Paranaense in a friendly, was weaker than Independiente del Valle in the first round of the group stage of the Copa Libertadores, and lost their opening round match in Serie A to Avaí. The visitors have a big problem with the tone, and we should also note that América have not scored goals in their last three matches.

Atlético Mineiro and América Mineiro have played 44 times between them. The big advantage is on the side of Galo, i.e. Atlético Mineiro, +26=14-4 with a goal difference of 77:33. The opponents crossed paths most often in the state championship, as they played in different leagues most of the time. Apart from the state championship and Serie A, Atlético and América have met each other in the Primera Liga. In Serie A, our teams met 11 times of which Atlético Mineiro won 8 games with two draws and one win for América and a goal difference of 14-2. At the Mineirão, the teams have played 22 matches, of which Atlético have won 13 with seven draws and two victories for América. In the 2022 season, Atlético and América already played each other in the Mineiro Championship, in a 2-0 victory for Atlético.

Atlético Mineiro won every possible title in Brazil last season, naturally, with such baggage, the Galo will now take a shot at the title of the strongest team on the continent. For Atlético Mineiro, the upcoming meeting will be the first home game in the tournament, and immediately a derby. So, it looks like Atlético will be doubly motivated for this encounter. There's little doubt that the Galo will try to outplay their opponents with maximum confidence. H1 (-1.5) for 2.24.

As we mentioned in our main text, América have been unable to score in the last three games and the visitors have problems with creating and realizing scoring chances. Atlético Mineiro, on the other hand, are regularly playing on nil. There is a high probability of a win to nil for Galo and we believe that it will be a blowout win as well. The second betting option is 3-0 for 8.50.

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