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Guadeloupe vs Guatemala Prediction: Expect a win for the guests

04 Jul 2023
11:14
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France
Finished
Guatemala
Football. CONCACAF Gold Cup. Group stage. Round 3
Stadium: Red Bull Arena (Harrison)
05.07.2023 01:30
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Prediction for the match between Guadeloupe and Guatemala, which will take place on July 5. Check the team conditions and choose several betting options.

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Guadeloupe

After a 2:2 draw against Canada, Guadeloupe faced Cuba in the final minutes. Already in the first half, the team netted three unanswered goals: CSKA Sofia striker Matthias Faeton scored a double, and another goal was scored by Ange-Freddy Plumein, who plays in the Israeli championship. In the opening stages of the second half, Swiss serviette defender Antoni Baron scored, bringing his side's lead to four goals. In reply, Guadeloupe conceded only once, and that from the penalty spot, 4:1.

In the final round, even a draw will be enough for Guadeloupe to reach the quarterfinals. The reason for that is a better score difference than Guatemala (+3 to +1). A defeat will also not be an obstacle for the Guadeloupean side, but only if they can't beat Cuba in the parallel game.

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Guatemala

The team beat Cuba 1:0 in the opening round. In the second round, Guatemala faced Canada, the strongest team in the group and a bronze medalist in the last Gold Cup. However, the Canadians were favorites only on paper. Guatemala played in their defensive mode and outscored their opponent, allowing them to create only 0.60 expected goals. The Guatemalans accumulated 1.08 xG, although they didn't score either - 0:0.

The draw with Canada is certainly in Guatemala's favor, but the team needs to beat Guadeloupe to guarantee their first exit from the group since 2011. Even a draw would keep the Guatemalans out of the playoffs if Canada beat Cuba by two goals or more.

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Expert Betting Tips

The Guadeloupe team has played great offensively in this tournament - only Mexico and the USA have scored more than six goals in two rounds. At the same time, you cannot deny that the team of renowned former defender Jocelyn Anglom was lucky. Guadeloupe created fewer than the expected 2.5 goals - 1.08 against Canada and 1.36 against Cuba. Guatemala is the only team in the tournament that did not concede a goal. And luck is out of the question here - 0.11 allowed xG against the Cubans and 0.60 against the Canadians.

Guatemala may not concede, but they need a win, which means they must score. Guadeloupe's defensive play is far from reliable, so the Guatemalans should have no problem with that - they will be good for a goal or two.

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