Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali Prediction: Odds Favoring the Home Favorites

In the upcoming fixture of the Colombia Categoria A, Matchday 4, Atletico Nacional will take on Deportivo Cali at the Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Deportivo Cali has started its campaign with a draw against Once Caldas (0-0), whereas Atletico Nacional is coming off a fine win over Deportivo Pereira (0-1). After September 2022 Primera A Clausura, the two teams will meet in Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The last time these two competed, Atletico Nacional won (3-0). If we compare the two sides and their head-to-head win count, Atletico Nacional leads (25-18) with 17 matches ending in a draw. Considering the home game advantage and head-to-head win leads, Nacional will walk in as favorites. 

Going in the contest, Atletico Nacional is coming off a win against Pereira (0-1), in which Felipe Roman flipped the game and scored in the 77th minute of play. Nacional recorded a 57% possession and 4 shots on target. Moreover, the accurate passing percentage was 83%, which is quite terrific. Atletico Nacional’s home form has been quite peculiar, as they have not lost in their last 10 outings at home. With a 60% win record in the last 10 home games, Nacional is likely to sweep another win comfortably. Secondly, the goal scoring average of 1.70 goals per game in home fixtures is quite realistic and above par. In comparison to the scoring, the conceding average is just 0.80 goals per game, which is why they are likely to defend against Deportivo Cali in the upcoming contest.

Though Cali tied its last fixture against Once Caldas (0-0), it should have shown aggression and fought for a win. With Ramirez, Mantila, and Velasco leading the attack, Cali should be able to perform against Nacional away from home. From the last outing, Deportivo Cali should improve its overall passing accuracy, in order to take full advantage of half-cooked chances in the field. With an overall goal scoring average of 1.10 goals per game and an average of 0.90 goals in the last away fixtures, Cali is likely to struggle against Nacional. Moreover, the conceding average is 2.20 goals per game, which is likely to push Cali under extra pressure.

Going in the contest, Atletico Nacional’s goal scoring average against Deportivo Cali is about 1.48 goals per game and Cali averages 1.00 goals per game. Without any doubt that the two sides are likely to produce a competitive fixture, I will back Nacional to win in light of its recent home events and averages. In their last 4 meetings, the game total was over 2.5 goals, and the same is expected for the upcoming fixture. The final scoreline is likely to be 2-1.

• Atletico Nacional Medellin to Win for 1.53
• Goals Over 2.5 for 2.10
• Both Teams To Score - Yes for 2.21