Corinthians vs Bahia: Will the Timao’s rise to the top four?

The twenty-fourth round of Brazilian Serie A kicks off with a match between Corinthians and Bahia. Timao are listed as the clear favourite in the game, which is difficult to argue with, given the current tone of the future rivals.

Corinthians drew with Bragantino last round, with the Timao’s surprisingly surviving a 0-2 defeat. Augusto scored Corinthians’ first goal in the 90th minute, while Mosquito equalized in the sixth minute. The draw kept Corinthians in sixth place and even increased their lead over their nearest rival, Inter, by one point. Should they win on Wednesday, Corinthians would be ahead of Bragantino and Fortaleza, at the very least. The Timao side would move up to fourth place on the day. However, Corinthians’ home statistics are not ideal, with the São Paulo side only 15th in the division with 13 points.

We forgot to mention that Corinthians have a nine-match unbeaten streak. Bahia, on the other hand, cannot boast such statistics. Bahia lost twice in their last five games, drawing twice and beating Fortaleza 4-2 at home. And in general, there have been no away wins for Bahia since the fourth of July (Chapecoense). Bahia’s away statistics are 16th in the division, with two wins, six defeats, and nine points.

In the confrontation between Corinthians and Bahia, the field factor is critical. The visitors have never won in the last nine games between our teams, while the hosts have won 8 times and one 0-0 draw in Salvador. The current tone is noticeably on Corinthians’ side. The Timao have not lost since the first of August, i.e., more than two months. Bahia are not a visiting team, so there is much to be said for a home team win. Here are the odds for this game: W1 for 1.78, Both Teams To Score - yes for 1.95, W1+Both Teams To Score for 4.80.