Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield: Bet on hosts to win

Tuesday’s second leg of the Argentina Pro League cup encounter sees the Argentine Juniors take on Velez Sarsfield. A rather principal encounter, although the opponents represent different groups in this tournament, i.e. they are not direct competitors. The bookmakers are in favour of the home side. Velez have had a weak start to the tournament, although Sarsfield have been improving late.

Ahead of Tuesday’s matches, Argentinos Juniors are in the eighth position in the Group A standings, with an eight-point asset and five points behind top-four side Defensa. The future hosts played three matches in March. First, Argentinos Juniors drew 2-2 with Gimnasia Esgrima, then Olimpo beat the home side 2-0 and last time round they lost to Defensa, although they were the home team. Overall, the Argentinos Juniors’ home statistics are 9th in Group A, +1=1-1 in three games on a 4-2 goal difference. If they win on Tuesday, Argentinos Juniors will beat Sarmiento to move up to seventh place in Group A.

February was a disappointing February for Velez. There was only one win in four games, one draw and two defeats. However, in March, Sarsfield’s fortunes improved. First, Velez Sarsfield knocked out Club Cipolletti in the Argentinian Cup, beating their opponents 5-0. And after that, Veles drew twice in the Professional League Cup, with Estudiantes on home soil and Arsenal Sarandi away. As a result, Velez Sarsfield find themselves at the bottom of the Group B standings ahead of Tuesday’s matches, in 14th place, six points behind Colon, who are in the top four. However, it should be noted that should they win on Tuesday, Velez would go straight up seven places to seventh in the Group B table. As for away games, Velez Sarsfield are 13th in the group, with one draw in three games on a 0-3 goal difference.

Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield played between them 27 matches. Juniors achieved nine wins, six matches ended in a draw, and Velez Sarsfield won 12 matches. On the field of the Argentinos Juniors, the home side’s advantage is minimal, +5=4-4, 13:11 goal difference.

Argentina’s less productive teams will play with each other. Argentinos are a little better, but they can’t be called a goal-scoring team. Velez Sarsfield have not scored once in their two away games in the Professional League Cup. There’s much to suggest that the upcoming game won’t be rich in goals. As for the total, the maximum for Velez on Tuesday is a draw. Our first bet on this game is 1X+Total Under (2.5) for 2.43.

Let’s not be surprised if a single goal decides the game between Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield, and we doubt it will be the visitors’ goal. Our second bet is 1-0 in favour of Argentinos Juniors for 5.70.

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