Club Atlético Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction: Can Defensa Continue its Dominant Away Run?

In the upcoming scheduled fixture of the Argentine Primera Division, Matchday 4, Club Atlético Independiente will take on Defensa y Justicia at the Libertadores de América in Avellaneda. Going in the scheduled contest, Defensa stands 9th with 2 wins and 6 points from three matches, whereas Independiente stands 19th with just a win and 4 points. Moving forward, the Argentinian fixtures are getting intense as we predict. The upcoming matchup may look one-sided, but is likely to test the best nerves out of the two competing teams. Defensa and Independiente last played in July 2022 and Defensa won (2-1). 

Going in the matchup, Independiente has produced rational performances so far in the Primera Division. In the previous game, Rojas, Lopez, and Marcone tried their level best to convert half chances into goal-scoring opportunities, however, managed to have just 2 shots on target. In the last 15 matches played against Defensa, Independiente has scored 11 goals at an average of 0.73 goals per game. Independiente will be hoping for a balanced encounter, as in the last 10 home games, Independiente averages just 1.10 goals per game. Secondly, the conceding average is 1.00 goals per game, which is optimum. Hence, it is evident that Independiente will opt for a much more pre-meditated approach instead of attacking the opposition.

Defesna y Justicia has evolved as a compact unit in the Primera Division, winning back to back fixtures against Gimnasia (0-2) and Newell’s (1-0). In the last outing, Kevin Gutierrez scored the opening goal for Defensa in the 28th minute of play. With the greater availability of Fernandez, Barbona, Colombo, and Cardona in the lineup, Defensa are solid as a concrete wall. Though Defensa averages just 0.53 goals per game against Independiente, it’s game form is quite pro-active this season. In away fixtures, Defensa averages 1.10 goals per game and has a conceding average of 0.90 goals. Hence, Defensa is also likely to unsettle the opposition in the first half of play.

To me, Defensa y Justicia will start as favorites, as they haven’t lost any of their last 5 away matches. Secondly, they have also managed to score 2 or more goals in 5 of the last 10 matches. The last 5 meetings between the two have recorded a total of under 2.5 goals, hence, the upcoming matchup is also likely to have a total of under 2.5.

• Defensa y Justicia to Win for 3.80
• Total Under 2.5 for 1.55
• Both Teams To Score - No for 1.704