Natus Vincere vs MOUZ Prediction: betting on the MOUZ victory

Prediction for the match between Natus Vincere and MOUZ which will take place on October 13. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Sixth consecutive final for Natus Vincere. The Born to Win started the playoffs from the quarterfinals, on their way to the main match of IEM Rio 2024 they beat Virtus.pro (2:0) and Heroic (2:1). Natus Vincere was on the brink of failure this time around, but turned around a very tough series with Heroic. Will the grand final with MOUZ be just as tough?

Going back to the match with Heroic, it should be noted that the opponent lacked two rounds on the second map to win. Natus Vincere came back on Dust II with a score of 3:9, showing miracles for the T-side. Already on Mirage, the Born to Win left no chance for the Heroes. Earlier we noted that B1ad3 in Natus Vincere has built a strong team, building the game of his wards on the basis of discipline and commitment to the game plan. In the semifinals of IEM Rio we saw the ability to play in difficult situations. We should note a small pattern: when the team is doing well, the leader in statistics is often iM, and when they have to comback and get out of difficult situations, it is jL who carries them. And then there are b1t and w0nderful, who can get involved in any game. But the main figure in the team is B1ad3. The coach takes timely timeouts and finds ways to turn over difficult plays, and controls the situation when things are going well.

No one will remember now that a year ago no one believed in Natus Vincere. At the moment, the Born to Win leads the HLTV and Valve ratings by a wide margin, and nothing will change after the Rio event. But victory at IEM Rio 2024 is not guaranteed for another reason: Natus Vincere always has problems in HE5 series. Statistics show that the Born to win in this lineup won one HE5 confrontation out of four in 2024. But there is another side of the coin: Natus Vincere alternates between first and second place. At BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024, the B1ad3 team took second place, so logically there should be gold in Rio.

MOUZ overcame a series of setbacks and also made it to the IEM Rio 2024 Grand Final. After a lackluster performance at ESL Pro League Season 20, they proved that the defeats in Malta were a momentary weakness and the team is in top condition. This is the fourth grand final for MOUZ in 2024 and another opportunity to lift the trophy.

MOUZ's road to the final was filled with crucial challenges. In the group, the Mice picked up an important win over Complexity, to whom they had lost twice in Malta. Then they broke the big losing streak from FaZe - the most significant success in Rio for MOUZ regardless of the tournament's outcome. In the playoffs, the team beat Team Vitality and got revenge on FURIA Esports for their Group B loss. It is important to keep track not so much of the status of the teams, but the backstory of the encounters and the difficulty for MOUZ in each encounter. The Mice have played in all of the crucial meetings and have come away with victories, which means the team is on a huge morale boost. MOUZ is not out of the top five teams of HLTV for 2024, the core consists of pupils of the organization. Jimmphat stands out from the rest of his teammates in Rio - the Finnish riffler shows good stats at the tournament and is MOUZ's main contender for the tournament MVP title. In the semifinals, torzsi had a career-best streak - the Hungarian sniper finished the match against FURIA Esports with 40 kills and 10 deaths, had a productive action in every round, did 103 damage per round, and his final HLTV rating is 2.06. After a tough group stage in Rio torzsi is showing a very strong performance in the IEM Rio 2024 playoffs.

The main argument in favor of MOUZ in the finals of IEM Rio 2024 is the CS5 format. In CS2, the team played twice in the grand finals against Team Vitality and Team Spirit, both winning 3:0. If we take into account the last CS:GO tournament (ESL Pro League Season 18), where MOUZ played frozen instead of Brollan, the team beat Natus Vincere in the grand finals, also with a score of 3:0. MOUZ prepares perfectly for all HE5 finals in terms of mapple, shooting, and in preparation for the opponent. Considering that the Mice have already overcome such a tough road, the mood within the team is very good. Two factors could be the basis for a MOUZ victory in Rio.

On one side of the scale Natus Vincere is top 1 HLTV, six finals in a row, all players in phenomenal form, genius B1ad3 on the coaching slot. On the second MOUZ, who won all the crucial matches at the tournament and can play HE5-format. Both teams have a good game structure, each player is a threat on the server and can be a star. But we will lean towards MOUZ victory, because Natus Vincere always has serious problems in HE5.