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The MongolZ vs Complexity Prediction: We Won’t See Another Sensation

16 Dec 2023
17:36
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TheMongolz
Finished
CompLexity

ESL Challenger Atlanta 2023.

Group A.

Format: BO3.

16.12.2023  21:00



Odds 1,85
Bet Type Maps H2 (-1.5)
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 Prediction for the ESL Challenger Atlanta 2023 The MongolZ vs Complexity match which will take place on December 17th. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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The MongolZ

The Mongolian team made another huge upset in Atalanta. In the first HE1 they defeated Complexity in overtime. In the play-off match, however, they were unlucky to lose 6-13 to Apeks. Will the team prove that their first victory in the tournament was a logical result?

The Mongols have worse overall stats than many teams in the tournament, but they are excellent in the majority of situations (81% in 5x4 situations). They have big problems in defence (31% of rounds won), but are slightly better than average in attack (55%). In pistol rounds, the team has mixed success (2-2, 50%). Looking at this match against Complexity, they only won two out of sixteen rounds with the bomb, in the other cases they were better at shooting. Individually, bLitz shows a good level - 1.15 HLTV rating, 1.5 impact score.

Why can the Mongols win this series? They have a mental advantage due to the last H2H victory, and they have nothing to lose. But the class difference was evident in the first meeting, and it will be twice as hard to surprise them in BO3.


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Complexity

EliGE bounced back from this disappointing defeat to defeat GamerLegion 2-1 on the same day. It should be noted that on Vertigo and Overpass the team won by scores of 13:3 and 13:2 respectively. It is likely that the "slap" from MongolZ had a positive effect on Complexity.

The team feels better in defense (62% of rounds won), but also shows a good enough level in attack (55%). In CS2, the team success does not longer depend on EliGE only as the whole squad contributes, with floppy aiming to become the second star for Complexity. EliGE proves that he should be listed in the top 20 of the HLTV individual rankings, but it is not enough to win.

And yet - why should Complexity win? Class advantage, vast experience in the last six months at tier-1 level, ability to play BO3. If the team beats the Mongols in this encounter, the random upsets will be forgotten.


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Expert Betting Tips

MongolZ has won before, but in BO1. One can't do that twice. Complexity should be able to play two games without too much trouble and get a spot in the semifinals.

Odds 1,85
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type Rounds TU (21.5) on Map 1
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Rounds TU (21.5) on Map 1
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