Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers Prediction: Cowboys to dominate at home

On Monday, the Green Bay Packers will face off against the Dallas Cowboys in the NFL Wild Card Round playoffs at AT&T Stadium. The Green Bay Packers concluded the regular season with an overall record of 9-8, finishing on a positive note with a three-game winning streak. On the other hand, the Dallas Cowboys had a strong season with a 12-5 record and are entering the playoffs following a victory over the Washington Commanders. Now, let's delve into the previews and make a prediction for this matchup.

For the Dallas Cowboys, their season commenced with a 5-3 record but concluded with an impressive 7-2 run. During this period, they secured victories against the New York Giants, Carolina Panthers, Washington Commanders (twice), Seattle Seahawks, Philadelphia Eagles, and Detroit Lions. The Cowboys have exhibited excellence on both offense and defense, averaging 29.9 points per game while allowing just 18.5 points. Their passing game has been particularly prolific, generating an average of 258.6 yards per game, along with 36 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.

In their final regular-season matchup against the Washington Commanders, the Dallas Cowboys cruised to a commanding 38-10 victory. Dak Prescott showcased his prowess with four touchdown passes and 279 yards, albeit with one interception. CeeDee Lamb was a standout performer, catching two of those touchdowns among his 13 receptions for 98 yards. Notably, the Cowboys boast an impressive record of winning each of their last 16 games at AT&T Stadium.

Furthermore, the Dallas Cowboys have consistently covered the spread in their last six Monday games as favorites. Additionally, they have dominated the first half in each of their last six Monday games when playing as favorites.

The Green Bay Packers had a tumultuous journey this year, starting with a challenging 3-6 record. However, they rebounded impressively, winning six of their final eight games to secure a 9-8 record and a Wild Card berth. Notable victories during this stretch were against the Los Angeles Chargers, Detroit Lions, Kansas City Chiefs, Carolina Panthers, Minnesota Vikings, and Chicago Bears. Throughout the regular season, the Packers averaged 22.5 points per game while conceding 20.6 points on the defensive end.

In their Week 18 matchup against the Bears last Sunday, the Green Bay Packers held a narrow 7-6 lead at halftime. They outscored the Chicago Bears 10-3 in the second half, securing a 17-9 victory. Quarterback Jordan Love recorded 316 yards with two scores, and Aaron Jones led the rushing attack with 111 yards. Jayden Reed was the top receiver with four catches for 112 yards. Notably, the underdogs have emerged victorious in each of the Green Bay Packers' last four games at AT&T Stadium. Furthermore, the Packers have covered the spread in their last seven games as underdogs following a Division win. Additionally, they have won the first half in each of their last six road games against NFC opponents.

I’m leaning towards sticking with the Dallas Cowboys for this one. They're coming off an impressive performance against the Washington Commanders, where they secured 31 first downs and gained a total of 440 yards (with 309 passing yards) in the victory. The defense also played well, generating three turnovers and allowing only 12 first downs—a solid all-around effort. It's noteworthy that Dallas Cowboys had struggled to surpass 20 points in three consecutive games before this, emphasizing the importance of finding the end zone against the resilient Green Bay Packers.

As for the Packers, they managed 24 first downs and 432 total yards (with 308 passing yards) against their rivals, the Bears, in the final week of the regular season. The Packers have experienced a tense stretch recently, with seven of their last nine games being decided by eight points or fewer. While one could argue for the Green Bay Packers, especially if they can control Dallas' offense, I don't believe they'll quite manage to cover the spread in this matchup.