LTE, Wimax, TD-LTE, and VoLTE
- LTE will NOT be the leading air interface protocol for mobile consumer devices in 2012
- VoLTE will NOT take off.
- TD-LTE will NOT take hold in the Chinese and Indian markets in 2012
Smartphones, mobile devices, and tablets
- Things are heating up between handset manufacturers in India. NOT all low-cost handset manufacturers will survive the Indian mobile market melee
- There will NOT be “smashproof” smartphones in 2012
- Despite low-cost Android smartphones and the resurgence of Windows, Apple will still hold the upper hand in carrier deals
- RIM will NOT get out of the tablet business in 2012
- Media tablets will NOT be a mass-market solution for 2012 despite a banner year in 2011
Mobile services, apps, and carriers
- The world will NOT rely on mobile phones for internet access in 2012 (or ever)
- HTML5 will NOT win the day in mobile apps
Location, advertising, and indoor location
- Location-based advertising will continue to play second fiddle to rich media in 2012
- Indoor location will NOT become commonplace in 2012
- Wii U will NOT replicate the magic of the original Wii and Microsoft will NOT release the next Xbox (there won’t be a Sony PS4, either)
- 2012 will NOT be the year that 3D takes over the world
- In 2012, VoD services will continue to dominate OTT services, NOT OTT streaming or the virtual cable operator concept
- The Indian fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) market will NOT be significant in 2012
M2M, home automation systems, smart cities, and wireless sensor networks
- With the housing market still unsteady, the newbuild home automation market will NOT resume leadership over the retrofit market in 2012
- Google’s new WSN protocol for home automation will NOT gain traction in 2012
- Despite the excitement over the prospect of these smart city projects, ABI Research believes that smart city operating systems will NOT revolutionize cities in 2012
- Smart grids standardization work will NOT be completed in 2012
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