UFC 270 on 23 January: Ngannou - Gane, Figueiredo - Moreno, Nurmagomedov - Stamann. Analysis & Odds

The first numbered fight in 2022 will take place on the night of January 23. During the main fight of the evening, reigning champion Francis Ngannou will defend the belt against the undefeated Ciryl Gane.

Unfortunately, the fights involving Movsar Evloev and Alexey Oleynik were canceled at the very last moment.

This is Ngannou's last fight under the contract, and he is already intimidating the league that, most likely, he won’t renew it, and he’ll go into boxing. The fact is that Francis is haunted by the fees of elite boxers and, having heard enough from Jake Paul, he insists that UFC fighters are underpaid.

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Francis Ngannou became enraged and after a rather strange defeat to Derrick Lewis in the summer of 2018, he beats everyone and wins only by knockouts. The only one who managed to survive the first round against Ngannou during this period was a former champion, Stipe Miocic. And right now, looking at a huge Ngannou’s cannon punches, there is not a single thought of how he can be defeated.

I am not going to go after a knockout, but I don’t see how this fight can end in any other way than my victory. I think I will do it within two rounds, since Cyril is not as strong as Stipe Miocic. I know this guy well. He can't handle the kind of pressure that Stipe could. I don't think he has a chance to win.

Francis Ngannou

There is an opinion that Ciryl Gane is a fighter of a new formation who will be able to get over the fight during the later rounds, tire his opponent and try to win. The fighters have been training with the same coach for a long time, this adds a lot of intrigue to the confrontation, since they are aware of the advantages and disadvantages of each other. Ngannou, in fact, has enough shortcomings. In fact, the champion has nothing but a powerful blow, and it is theoretically possible to defeat him. It is necessary "only" somehow to avoid his famous blow. But this problem seems to be extremely difficult to solve.

It's probably 50/50. Let's just say Ngannou is beating his opponents confidently. If he manages to accelerate and hit the opponent, then his opponent has no chance. But Gane is very good at avoiding attacks, so it is difficult to catch and hit him. In this regard, we can say that they are both skillful fighters, but they are proficient in different techniques. Gane was also trained by the same specialist who worked with Ngannou. We expect it to be interesting."

Alexander Volkov

Looking at the objective statistics of the fighters before the fight, you can always find something interesting and useful for the bettor. Anyway, it’s better to be realistic about the numbers and take into account the level of opposition of the fighters.

All past victories of the rivals can be safely pushed into the background and not taken into account because the fighters have a new, separate story. They have already had two championship fights (a draw and Morin's victory by hoke), the third is next in line, which will make sense of it.
This time, Brendon Moreno is the bookmakers’ favorite, but that doesn't mean anything. Last time, Figueiredo was a favorite, but it all ended as it ended. None of them have an advantage in any of the components, and the result will determine how the fighters will be ready at that moment. It’s an incredibly difficult fight to predict.

Khabib Nurmagomedov is about to face quite a difficult test. Yes, Cody Stamann lost two of his previous fights, but his opponents Dvalishvili and Rivera can be attributed to the elite. The American has much more experience than Said, since his wrestling is no worse (this is his base), and boxing, most likely, is better. It is not clear why he is an underdog, maybe it is a magic of the surname, who knows.
Nurmagomedov rarely fights (last year he didn’t fight at all), and lost to the more or less serious opponent in UFC (it was Borsales by unanimous decision).

This card is losing fights one by one. But the main two fights are so good, and no matter who fights on preliminary cards, the tournament should be impressive.

• UFC Title Fight - Heavyweight: Francis Ngannou (16-3) vs. Ciryl Gane (10-0);
• UFC Title Fight - Flyweight: Brandon Moreno (19-5-2) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (20-2-1);
• Welterweight: Michel Pereira vs. André Fialho;
• Bantamweight: Cody Stamann (19-4-1) vs. Said Nurmagomedov (14-2);
• Middleweight: Rodolfo Vieira (8-1) vs. Wellington Thurman (17-5);
• Welterweight: Warlley Alves (15-5-0) vs. Jack Della (1-0-0);
• Bantamweight: Raoni Barcelos vs Victor Henry;
• Bantamweight: Tony Gravely (21-7) vs. Saimon Oliveira (18-3);
• Welterweight: Michael Morales (12-0) vs. Trevin Giles (14-3);
• Lightweight: Matt Frevola (8-3-1) vs. Genaro Valdez (10-0);
• Female Flyweight: Kai Hansen (7-4) vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (6-1).

In the two main fights, the analysts of the bookmaker's office 1xBet have chosen the favorites very boldly and this raises questions. Hand on heart, since no one will be surprised if the underdogs win, moreover, there are a lot of experts who say that such an outcome is natural. The same goes for fight with Said Nurmagomedov.
Generally, the line for this tournament is a godsend for the bettor, there have not been such ambiguous odds for a very long time.